Newcastle vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1955 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1955 |
NEW
2 - 1
OPA
54%
20%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1955 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
TOT
3 - 1
NEW
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
NEW
4 - 1
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1955 |
WOL
3 - 2
SHE
78%
12%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1955 |
MUD
4 - 3
WOL
52%
22%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1955 |
BOL
2 - 1
WOL
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
WOL
2 - 1
CHL
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
BPO
2 - 1
WOL
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |