Newcastle vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
7º
7º
4
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 97 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 86 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 79 |
3º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 65 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 65 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 62 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 62 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 58 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 55 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 53 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 37 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 37 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 35 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
24% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 28 |
20º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
18.5% | 20% |
|
Europa League
|
15.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
NEW
23%
23%
54%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRE
72%
18%
11%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 0
GIR
56%
22%
22%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
4 - 0
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
TOT
20%
21%
59%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
2 - 3
BYM
15%
17%
69%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
1 - 2
BYM
10%
13%
78%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KAS
3 - 4
TOT
3%
10%
87%
|
93 | 11 | 82 | 0 |