Newcastle vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
NEW
2 - 0
TOT
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1988 |
NEW
1 - 0
CRY
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1988 |
NEW
2 - 2
SHW
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
NTT
0 - 2
NEW
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
LIV
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1988 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWI
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1988 |
SWI
0 - 0
NOR
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1988 |
BIR
1 - 1
SWI
35%
31%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
SWI
2 - 0
WBA
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
SWI
4 - 2
IPS
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |