Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
ARS
5 - 3
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
NEW
2 - 0
QPR
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
NEW
4 - 1
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
WHU
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 1
NOR
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1976 |
IPS
3 - 1
SUN
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 1
TOT
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |