Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
SOU
0 - 0
NEW
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
TOT
1 - 1
NEW
76%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
NEW
4 - 0
SHW
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
EVE
3 - 0
SUN
65%
20%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 2
LEE
37%
28%
34%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 3
CHL
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
SOU
3 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
SUN
1 - 1
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |