Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 2
LIV
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
LEE
0 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
LEI
1 - 1
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
BCF
2 - 0
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1929 |
SUN
1 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
HUR
1 - 2
SUN
58%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1929 |
BOL
2 - 2
SUN
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 0
SUN
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |