Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 0
SHE
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
NEW
4 - 3
SHW
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
BOL
1 - 2
NEW
54%
23%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
NEW
0 - 1
BBU
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
SUN
3 - 0
HUR
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 1
SUN
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
ASV
4 - 2
SUN
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
SUN
0 - 1
SHE
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
BCF
5 - 3
SUN
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |