Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
BCF
0 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
NEW
4 - 1
NTT
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
ARS
0 - 2
NEW
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
SUN
4 - 1
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
SUN
1 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
SUN
33%
26%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
TOT
1 - 0
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
SUN
3 - 0
WBA
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |