Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
NEW
0 - 2
TOT
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1921 |
TOT
4 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
NEW
3 - 1
PNE
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
OLD
3 - 0
SUN
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 1
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 2
SUN
54%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 1
BBU
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |