Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
MID
0 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
NEW
1 - 0
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 3
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
SUN
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
BOL
1 - 0
SUN
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |