Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOT
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
BBU
2 - 3
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 2
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 2
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 6
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
BRA
3 - 1
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1914 |
EVE
7 - 1
SUN
42%
24%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |