Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
PNE
0 - 3
SUN
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
WBA
1 - 0
SUN
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
83%
11%
7%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
4 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |