Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 2
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 1
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1910 |
NEW
6 - 1
LIV
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1910 |
MUD
2 - 0
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
SUN
3 - 1
BRI
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1910 |
SHW
1 - 1
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1910 |
SUN
4 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1910 |
MAC
3 - 3
SUN
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1910 |
SUN
2 - 2
NTT
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |