Newcastle vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
TOT
0 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 3
QPR
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
STO
3 - 0
COV
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
SOU
3 - 0
STO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
STO
1 - 2
SHE
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
LEE
1 - 1
STO
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
STO
2 - 0
WHU
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |