Newcastle vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1972 |
NEW
4 - 2
WBA
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
CHL
3 - 3
NEW
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1972 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEE
27%
29%
44%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1972 |
NTT
1 - 0
NEW
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1972 |
NEW
0 - 1
IPS
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1972 |
STO
1 - 1
WBA
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
MUD
3 - 0
STO
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
CRY
2 - 0
STO
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1972 |
CHL
2 - 0
STO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |