Newcastle vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1969 |
NEW
4 - 1
WOL
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
WBA
5 - 1
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1969 |
EVE
1 - 1
NEW
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
NEW
2 - 0
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1969 |
NEW
3 - 2
SHW
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1969 |
STO
1 - 1
SHW
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
STO
1 - 3
ARS
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
QPR
2 - 1
STO
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1969 |
WHU
0 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |