Newcastle vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
FUL
2 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
NEW
4 - 2
MAC
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
CHA
6 - 3
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1949 |
BPO
0 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
NEW
3 - 2
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
STO
2 - 3
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 2
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1949 |
STO
1 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
STO
1 - 3
WBA
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 1
STO
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |