Newcastle vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
STO
1 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
HUR
2 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
OLD
0 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
STO
1 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 1
STO
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
BIR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 1
NTT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
TOT
3 - 1
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |