Newcastle vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1907 |
LIV
4 - 1
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 2
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
4 - 0
MID
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 0
STO
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1907 |
STO
1 - 1
LIV
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
STO
3 - 0
BIR
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
STO
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
DER
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |