FA Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Newcastle vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.3%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
6.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
10.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.8%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.8%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.5%
1.1%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
ASV
0 - 1
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
STE
1 - 1
NEW
11%
19%
71%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1998 |
LIV
1 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
NEW
2 - 1
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
SHW
2 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
STE
1 - 1
NEW
11%
19%
71%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 2
STE
69%
17%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 1997 |
STE
2 - 1
CAM
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
CAM
1 - 1
STE
59%
21%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1997 |
STE
5 - 0
CAR
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |