Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Newcastle vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
NEW
0 - 0
LEI
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
SCP
0 - 0
SLB
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |