Newcastle vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
WIM
3 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
3 - 0
LUT
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
5 - 0
ASV
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
EVE
3 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
SOU
4 - 0
LEI
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LIV
1 - 0
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |