Newcastle vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
WHU
1 - 2
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
TOT
3 - 2
NEW
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1973 |
NEW
0 - 0
EVE
62%
22%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 1
LIV
38%
31%
32%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
MAC
2 - 0
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
QPR
1 - 1
SOU
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
SOU
3 - 1
LEE
22%
28%
50%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
SOU
2 - 2
ARS
30%
29%
41%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
CHL
2 - 1
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1973 |
WHU
4 - 3
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |