Newcastle vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
NEW
0 - 1
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRY
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
ARS
4 - 2
NEW
69%
21%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
NEW
0 - 1
DER
50%
26%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
SOU
1 - 1
WBA
55%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
CHL
3 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
SOU
3 - 2
SHE
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
WOL
4 - 2
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
SOU
0 - 1
ARS
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |