Newcastle vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
48%
22%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1960 |
NEW
1 - 1
BPO
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1960 |
EVE
1 - 2
NEW
44%
22%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1960 |
NEW
3 - 2
LUT
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1960 |
BOL
1 - 4
NEW
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
SHW
1 - 0
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 2
LEI
61%
18%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1960 |
BUR
3 - 3
SHW
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1960 |
SHW
4 - 2
MUD
46%
21%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1960 |
BBU
2 - 1
SHW
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |