Newcastle vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
BBU
2 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHW
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
2 - 2
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1920 |
LIV
1 - 0
SHW
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
BRA
3 - 0
SHW
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |