Newcastle vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1911 |
SHE
0 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 0
CHL
79%
13%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 1
SHW
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
5 - 2
SHW
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
SHW
1 - 0
BBU
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
SHW
0 - 0
ARS
73%
16%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 2
SHW
70%
18%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |