Newcastle vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 1
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 4
MUD
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
NEW
4 - 1
BBU
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1910 |
NEW
5 - 2
PNE
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
SHW
0 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
PNE
1 - 0
SHW
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1910 |
SHW
2 - 0
BRI
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
MID
4 - 0
SHW
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1910 |
BOL
0 - 2
SHW
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |