Newcastle vs Sheffield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
HUR
2 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
LEI
6 - 1
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
NEW
3 - 1
GRI
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
5 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
SHW
1 - 1
SHE
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 1
SHE
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
SHE
7 - 1
LEI
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
SHE
4 - 2
WHU
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
GRI
4 - 1
SHE
32%
22%
46%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |