Newcastle vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 2
HUR
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
FUL
1 - 0
NEW
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 2
VIT
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 2
NEW
11%
19%
70%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LOK
0 - 4
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WOL
2 - 0
REA
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
REA
2 - 0
PLY
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
PNE
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
BOU
84%
13%
4%
|
67 | 16 | 51 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
WIM
2 - 0
REA
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |