Newcastle vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
OXF
3 - 0
NEW
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 0
ROT
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 1
BIR
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 2
NEW
24%
26%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
QPR
1 - 2
BUR
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
QPR
1 - 1
FUL
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
QPR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
QPR
1 - 2
BBU
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
QPR
2 - 1
IPS
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |