Newcastle vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
MUD
3 - 2
NEW
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1959 |
BIR
4 - 3
NEW
62%
18%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 5
TOT
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1959 |
WHU
2 - 1
PNE
51%
21%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
PNE
1 - 1
WBA
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1959 |
PNE
1 - 1
WHU
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1959 |
CHL
4 - 4
PNE
51%
22%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
PNE
2 - 2
TOT
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |