Newcastle vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 2
CHL
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
EVE
3 - 3
NEW
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
MIL
68%
17%
16%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
TOT
1 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
NEW
4 - 2
SHW
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
MAC
3 - 2
PNE
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
PNE
2 - 2
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
PNE
0 - 7
BPO
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1948 |
DER
2 - 1
PNE
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 3
PNE
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |