Newcastle vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 2
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
NEW
4 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
NEW
3 - 2
MID
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 2
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 2
SUN
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
PNE
3 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
CAR
1 - 1
PNE
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |