Newcastle vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHE
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
SHE
1 - 1
NEW
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
LIV
4 - 0
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 1
LIV
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 1
PNE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
PNE
3 - 2
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |