Newcastle vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 3
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
0 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 3
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
ASV
2 - 4
PNE
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
3 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
OLD
4 - 1
PNE
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 1
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |