Newcastle vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
BRI
3 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
SHW
2 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 0
NOT
78%
14%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRI
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 1
LEI
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 1
PNE
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1908 |
PNE
6 - 0
CHL
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |