Newcastle vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
MID
0 - 3
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
65%
19%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
BCF
3 - 2
NEW
39%
25%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
5 - 1
SHW
65%
19%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
DER
3 - 0
PNE
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
PNE
4 - 2
MID
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 1
PNE
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
3 - 2
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
SHW
2 - 1
PNE
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |