Newcastle vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHL
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 3
ARS
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 0
OPA
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
OPA
1 - 0
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 2
WBA
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
HUL
0 - 0
OPA
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 1
EVE
37%
29%
35%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |