Newcastle vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
1 - 4
NEW
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
SHW
1 - 0
NEW
58%
20%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
NEW
3 - 1
TOT
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
WBA
2 - 1
NEW
51%
22%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
CHL
6 - 2
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
OPA
3 - 2
SHW
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 5
OPA
67%
17%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
PNE
4 - 0
OPA
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
OPA
5 - 1
TOT
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
OPA
0 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |