Newcastle vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
ARS
4 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
LEI
3 - 0
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 4
NEW
52%
23%
26%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
OPA
0 - 0
SHW
45%
24%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1927 |
MID
5 - 1
OPA
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
OPA
2 - 2
BIR
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
BOL
3 - 1
OPA
68%
18%
15%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
OPA
2 - 2
BBU
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |