Newcastle vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
BPO
2 - 1
NEW
27%
26%
46%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEI
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
4 - 3
HUR
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CRY
0 - 2
NEW
24%
27%
49%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
PLY
0 - 1
WAT
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
WBA
3 - 1
PLY
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PLY
1 - 3
SHW
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DER
2 - 1
PLY
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
PLY
1 - 3
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |