Newcastle vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
CHA
2 - 0
NEW
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1988 |
WAT
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1988 |
NEW
3 - 0
WAT
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
NEW
1 - 1
QPR
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
DER
2 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
OXF
1 - 1
EVE
22%
28%
50%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 3
SHW
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
WAT
3 - 0
OXF
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 0
SOU
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
COV
1 - 0
OXF
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |