Newcastle vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
37%
31%
32%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 0
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
MAC
3 - 2
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 1
OLD
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 2
LIV
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
OLD
1 - 1
BUR
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 1
OLD
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |