Newcastle vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1922 |
BBU
0 - 2
NEW
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1922 |
BOL
3 - 2
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 0
BBU
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
BUR
0 - 1
OLD
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 1
BUR
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
SHE
1 - 0
OLD
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 2
SHE
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
OLD
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |