Newcastle vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
2 - 1
MUD
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHE
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 0
CHL
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
OLD
0 - 3
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
CHL
1 - 0
OLD
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
3 - 0
OLD
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 1
OLD
65%
19%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |