Newcastle vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1911 |
NEW
1 - 1
PNE
74%
16%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 5
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
BRI
1 - 0
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
SHW
0 - 2
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
OLD
1 - 1
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
BRI
3 - 2
OLD
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
SHE
1 - 2
OLD
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
OLD
1 - 0
SHW
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
BCF
2 - 2
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |