Newcastle vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
BOL
3 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
NEW
4 - 0
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 1
NEW
35%
32%
34%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
NOT
2 - 0
SHE
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
WHU
3 - 0
NOT
43%
29%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
BBU
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
HUR
0 - 0
NOT
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
ASV
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |