Newcastle vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
BOL
4 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
NEW
0 - 0
SHE
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 1
BBU
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 0
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOT
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
4 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |