Newcastle vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
BRI
2 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 0
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
DER
0 - 0
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 1
PNE
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
PNE
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
BCF
3 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 2
SHW
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |